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Benjamini-Hochberg FDR Under Correlated Gaussian Tests

Does the Benjamini-Hochberg procedure always control the false-discovery rate at its nominal level for correlated two-sided Gaussian p-values? A factor model gives FDR>0.0104\mathrm{FDR} > 0.0104 at nominal level α=0.01\alpha = 0.01.

Result
Disproved
Status
Resolved
AI contribution
AI-discovered
Method
Construction
Field
Statistics
Posed by
Year posed
2006
Years open
20y
Solved
2026-07-13
Model
GPT-5.6 Pro
Vendor
OpenAI
Collaborators
Edgar Dobriban
Verification
Unreviewed
Publication
Preprint
Significance
15 / 100
Disclosed cost
Wikipedia
No dedicated article

What the AI did

The counterexample was obtained by GPT-5.6 Pro and carefully checked by the author, with a rigorous interval-arithmetic certificate valid for all sufficiently large numbers of hypotheses.

Verification

Author-checked arXiv preprint with an interval-arithmetic certificate. Not yet peer-reviewed.

Source

arXiv:2607.12208 - The Benjamini-Hochberg procedure can fail to control the FDR

Discussion