Absence of critical Bernoulli site percolation on for
For nearest-neighbour Bernoulli site percolation on , each vertex is open independently with probability . Let be the probability that the open cluster of the origin is infinite and the critical parameter. Is for every ? This is the site form of the classical question of no percolation at criticality; Benjamini and Schramm stated it for site percolation on every quasi-transitive graph with . The planar case was settled classically, and high dimensions by Heydenreich and Matzke's site lace expansion (2020), with no explicit dimension bound.
- Result
- Proved(see note)
- Status
- Candidate (review pending)
- AI contribution
- AI-discovered
- Method
- Argument
- Field
- Percolation theory; mathematical statistical mechanics
- Posed by
- Itai Benjamini and Oded Schramm, Percolation beyond Z^d, many questions and a few answers (1996), Conjecture 4, stated for site percolation
- Year posed
- 1996
- Years open
- 30y
- Solved
- 2026-09-05
- Model
- ChatGPT 5.6 (per the exposition page; the author's other documents also name Claude and GLM models)
- Vendor
- OpenAI; Anthropic; Zhipu AI
- Collaborators
- Ahmed Bou-Rabee, Justin Leder
- Verification
- Lean-checked, statement unaudited
- Publication
- Announced
- Significance
- 72 / 100
- Disclosed cost
- —
- Wikipedia
- No dedicated article
What was actually shown
Claims for nearest-neighbour Bernoulli site percolation on for every (theorem KNAll.Site.site_no_percolation_at_critical), by proving the Kozma-Nitzan gluing inequality for independent hyperedges, representing site percolation by incidence hyperedges, and running the lattice exploration of the bond proof. The intermediate dimensions were open. The planar case is classical and outside the formal statement. The same repository proves Kozma-Nitzan Conjectures 1 to 4 and 6, answers Questions 5, 7 and 9, and refutes one reading of Question 8. OpenAI's release (24 September 2026) later gave critical site nonpercolation on only, crediting this work; its quasi-transitive theorem is bond only, so the site form of Benjamini-Schramm Conjecture 4 beyond stays open.
What the AI did
The public exposition (Bou-Rabee's site, last updated 5 September 2026) says: "Mathematics generated by ChatGPT 5.6, prompted by Ahmed Bou-Rabee, with exposition and formalization support by Claude Opus 5 and GLM 5.3." The companion manuscript on the Kozma-Nitzan inequalities says its arguments, exposition and Lean formalization "were produced entirely by ChatGPT 5.6 Sol and Claude Fable 5.1, prompted by Ahmed Bou-Rabee", and the repository NOTICE says the KN, hypergraph and site development was "produced with ChatGPT and Claude, prompted by Ahmed Bou-Rabee". The repository's formalization.yaml names Bou-Rabee and Justin Leder as authors (Leder as responsible maintainer) and lists Claude Opus 5.5, Sonnet 5, Opus 5 and DeepSeek v4.1 Flash as the Lean agents, closely supervised by Bou-Rabee. The model lists differ between documents; all agree the mathematics came from the models.
Verification
No independent mathematician has checked this yet. Checked here on 7 October 2026 at commit 6a76bc3f of nitromannitol/percolation-after-anthropic: the Mathlib-only comparator challenge PercolationAudit/SiteCriticality/Challenge.lean was read. It builds nearest-neighbour Z^d as SimpleGraph.hasse on Fin d to Z (as in the audited bond entry), the product Bernoulli law on vertex sets, open clusters through open vertices, theta as the law of an infinite cluster at the origin and p_c as the infimum of percolating parameters with 1 adjoined, and states thetaSite d (p_c) = 0 for every d with 3 <= d and no other hypothesis. That is the headline claim. The repository's CI shows the Comparator audit workflow succeeding on that commit; formalization.yaml reports no sorry and only propext, Classical.choice and Quot.sound. Not rebuilt here. The proof depends on Anthropic's bond library pinned at 795efb8, audited for the bond entry. The site extension has no written proof outside the exposition and the Lean development.
Sources
- PaperKozma-Nitzan connection inequalities, companion manuscript (5 September 2026)Kozma and Nitzan, A reduction of the theta(p_c)=0 problem to a conjectured inequality (arXiv:2401.12397)OpenAI release: critical bond and site percolation on the cubic lattice (later, Z^3 only)
- Lean proofBou-Rabee, Percolation at criticality (public exposition and Lean repository, 5 September 2026)Lean repository: percolation-after-anthropic (Bou-Rabee and Leder)
- Lean statementComparator challenge: the headline statement in plain Mathlib
- DiscussionQuanta Magazine coverage
- OtherBond percolation on Z^d, the result this extends