The entropy-rate dimension conjecture for self-similar measures on the line (including the exact overlaps conjecture)
Let () be finitely many similarities of and a positive probability vector, with self-similar measure . Always , where is the entropy rate of the random composed map and . The exact overlaps conjecture, associated with Simon (1996) and central since Hochman's 2014 work, asks whether equality holds whenever no two distinct words of equal length give the same map. The entropy-rate dimension conjecture (Varju's survey, Conjecture 3) extends this to systems with exact overlaps. Does hold for every finite self-similar system on the line?
- Result
- Proved(see note)
- Status
- Candidate (review pending)
- AI contribution
- AI-discovered
- Method
- Argument
- Field
- Fractal geometry; dimension of self-similar measures
- Posed by
- Karoly Simon (exact overlaps question, 1996); entropy-rate form as Conjecture 3 in Peter Varju's survey (arXiv:2509.22042)
- Year posed
- 1996
- Years open
- 30y
- Solved
- 2026-09-24
- Model
- Unreleased internal OpenAI model
- Vendor
- OpenAI
- Collaborators
- —
- Verification
- Lean-checked, statement unaudited
- Publication
- Announced
- Collection
- OpenAI math release (October 2026), version adc7f12
- Significance
- 55 / 100
- Disclosed cost
- —
- Wikipedia
- No dedicated article
What was actually shown
Theorem 1.1: for every finite system of contracting similarities of and every positive probability vector, , with no separation or arithmetic assumption; exact overlaps, repeated maps, negative and unequal ratios are allowed. Without exact overlaps this gives (the exact overlaps conjecture in dimension one) and the attractor formula with . It says nothing about absolute continuity (for instance of Bernoulli convolutions) and does not treat higher-dimensional or non-conformal systems.
What the AI did
The release README says every result in openai/math was produced by an unreleased internal OpenAI model with a fixed procedure, on average about three hours of ChatGPT Pro thinking compute per result. This result is not one of the README's two exceptions (the Hodge conjecture for CM abelian varieties and the Re(s) > 11/12 zero-free region). The manuscript is authored 'OpenAI' and names no human author. The proof uses Feng-Hu exact dimensionality as its only external dimension theorem.
Verification
No independent mathematician has checked this yet. Checked here: Theorem 1.1 was read against both formulations. It states for every finite indexed family with and every strictly positive weight vector, signed and unequal ratios and exact overlaps allowed; with no exact overlaps , giving the exact overlaps conjecture on the line. Lean: lean/formalization.yaml lists comparator SelfSimilar with declaration OAI.EntropyRateDimension.entropy_rate_dimension. The statement ComparatorChallenges/SelfSimilar.lean was read here: for a finite system with nonzero ratios of modulus below one and positive weights summing to one, and any probability measure satisfying the self-similarity equation, the lower Hausdorff dimension (infimum of dimH over positive-measure Borel sets) equals min(1, entropy rate / Lyapunov exponent), both in base 2, the entropy rate defined as the infimum of over complete affine maps. This states the headline. Not rebuilt here. Permitted axioms: propext, Quot.sound, Classical.choice.
Sources
- Lean proofLean proof (OAI.EntropyRateDimension.entropy_rate_dimension)Comparator statement: SelfSimilar.leanComparator statement: SelfSimilarCorollaries.lean (no-overlap and attractor forms)
- CodeOpenAI math release: The entropy-rate dimension formula for self-similar measures on the line
- Problem recordVarju, Entropy rates in the dimension theory of self-similar measures (Conjecture 3)