The Nam-Sly-Zhang conjecture: the free Ising state on the d-regular tree is a factor of IID up to the reconstruction threshold
Let be the infinite -regular tree, , and the free zero-field ferromagnetic Ising measure with . A spin law is a factor of IID if it is the law of for IID uniform vertex labels and a measurable commuting with tree automorphisms. Lyons (2017) studied which such Gibbs measures are factors of IID: the free state is one when , and Sly's argument shows it is not when , beyond the reconstruction threshold. Nam, Sly and Zhang (arXiv 2020, CMP 2022) proved it is a factor for and and conjectured the sharp threshold. Is a factor of IID for every whenever , including equality?
- Result
- Proved(see note)
- Status
- Candidate (review pending)
- AI contribution
- AI-discovered
- Method
- Construction
- Field
- Ergodic theory on trees; Ising model, factors of IID
- Posed by
- D. Nam, A. Sly and L. Zhang, Ising model on trees and factors of IID (arXiv 2012.09484, 2020; Comm. Math. Phys. 2022), following R. Lyons, Factors of IID on trees (2017)
- Year posed
- 2020
- Years open
- 6y
- Solved
- 2026-09-26
- Model
- Unreleased internal OpenAI model
- Vendor
- OpenAI
- Collaborators
- —
- Verification
- Lean-checked, statement unaudited
- Publication
- Announced
- Collection
- OpenAI math release (October 2026), version adc7f12
- Significance
- 16 / 100
- Disclosed cost
- —
- Wikipedia
- No dedicated article
What was actually shown
Theorem 1.1: for every and , is a factor of IID if and only if ; the new part is the positive implication including equality, and the factor can be chosen to commute with every automorphism on every input. The converse is Sly's, as given by Lyons, with the Backhausz-Szegedy-Virag bound. The construction inverts the innovations of the Nam-Sly-Zhang stochastic-localization observation process. It does not treat antiferromagnetic or nonzero-field states, other Gibbs measures, or finitary factors.
What the AI did
The release README says every result in openai/math was produced by an unreleased internal OpenAI model with a fixed procedure, on average about three hours of ChatGPT Pro thinking compute per result. This result is not one of the README's two exceptions (the Hodge conjecture for CM abelian varieties and the Re(s) > 11/12 zero-free region). The manuscript is authored 'OpenAI' and names no human author.
Verification
No independent mathematician has checked this yet. Checked here: Theorem 1.1 was read against the Nam-Sly-Zhang conjecture. The family is in lean/formalization.yaml (ComparatorChallenges/FreeIsing.json, declaration OAI.Problem367.free_ising_factor_iff_threshold, file OAI/Probability/FreeIsing/Main.lean). The comparator statement was read here: for every and , there is a measurable map of IID labels, almost surely equivariant for each fixed automorphism, whose image law matches the free Ising cylinder weights on connected finite sets, if and only if . This is the headline, including the known converse. Not rebuilt here. Finitary coding and coding-radius bounds are not claimed, and only the ferromagnetic free state is treated.