The Sharan-Sidford-Valiant precision question: do learners with memory need samples for linear regression?
A streaming learner sees pairs with independent rows and labels for an unknown unit vector , reads each pair once and keeps at most bits between samples. With enough memory to store the equations, about samples determine ; with real registers, Kaczmarz projection reaches accuracy after about samples. Building on Raz's memory-sample lower bounds for parity, Sharan, Sidford and Valiant (STOC 2019) showed that bits force samples in a noisy version of this experiment, and asked (Section 1.1) whether the first-order dependence of the sample count on the precision is optimal under bounded memory. Must every learner with (or at most ) bits of memory use samples to estimate to accuracy ?
- Result
- Proved(see note)
- Status
- Candidate (review pending)
- AI contribution
- AI-discovered
- Method
- Argument
- Field
- Learning theory; memory-sample tradeoffs
- Posed by
- Vatsal Sharan, Aaron Sidford and Gregory Valiant (Memory-sample tradeoffs for linear regression with small error, STOC 2019, Section 1.1)
- Year posed
- 2019
- Years open
- 7y
- Solved
- 2026-09-27
- Model
- Unreleased internal OpenAI model
- Vendor
- OpenAI
- Collaborators
- —
- Verification
- Lean-checked, statement unaudited
- Publication
- Announced
- Collection
- OpenAI math release (October 2026), version adc7f12
- Significance
- 17 / 100
- Disclosed cost
- —
- Wikipedia
- No dedicated article
What was actually shown
Main theorem: for fixed there are such that any learner with bits, , and uniform-prior success at least in reaching angular error needs horizon ; for the constant is absolute, and the bound also holds under an every-signal guarantee. Transitions may use unbounded computation and randomness; the output uses only the terminal state, stopping index and fresh randomness, with a deterministic horizon. It implies an bound in the noisy experiment of Sharan-Sidford-Valiant at Euclidean accuracy in their range. No matching finite-memory upper bound is proved, and memory well above is not treated.
What the AI did
The release README says all results in the release were produced by an unreleased internal OpenAI model with one fixed procedure, on average about three hours of ChatGPT Pro thinking compute per result. This family is not among the README's exceptions (the Hodge conjecture for CM abelian varieties, and the Re(s) > 11/12 zero-free region whose write-up was human-edited). The manuscripts are authored 'OpenAI' and name no human author. The family has six manuscripts of the same date: the principal one proves the lower bound for memory up to , and five companions give alternative proofs or supporting estimates (posterior replicas, subsphere methods, projection moments and cap domination, Gaussian replacement, localization and information growth). Most are partly formalized in Lean.
Verification
No independent mathematician has checked this yet. Checked here: the main theorem, its two corollaries and the predecessors section of the principal manuscript were read against the Sharan-Sidford-Valiant question as the manuscript cites it. Lean: lean/docs/140.md lists eight challenges. ComparatorChallenges/NoiselessRegression (theorem OAI.NoiselessRegression.main, solution module OAI.Probability.GaussianRegression.Main, file exists at the pinned commit) is not in formalization.yaml; its statement was read here: for an absolute with under uniform-prior or every-signal success , and for a constant , for finite-state randomized learners with exact Gaussian observations and angular error. That is the headline. MemoryPrecision.main (in formalization.yaml) covers supporting estimates and the case. Not rebuilt here. The model is exact (noiseless) observations; the noisy consequence is derived in the paper, not formalized.
Sources
- PaperCompanion: Subsphere methods for memory-sample lower bounds in noiseless Gaussian regressionCompanion: Posterior replicas and conditional information in Gaussian regressionCompanion: Projection moments, positive cap domination, and Riesz estimates on the sphereCompanion: Replacing Gaussian observations in memory-constrained inferenceCompanion: Localization costs and information growth for exact Gaussian observations
- Lean proofLean proof (OAI.NoiselessRegression.main)Lean proof (OAI.MemoryPrecision.main, supporting estimates)
- CodeOpenAI math release: Memory and precision in noiseless Gaussian regression
- Problem recordSharan-Sidford-Valiant, Memory-sample tradeoffs for linear regression with small error (STOC 2019)