Zariski's multiplicity conjecture: does embedded topology determine the multiplicity of a hypersurface singularity?
For a reduced convergent power series with , the multiplicity of the hypersurface germ is , the least degree of a monomial in . Two germs are ambiently homeomorphic if a homeomorphism of neighbourhoods of in fixing carries one zero set onto the other. For plane curves the embedded topology determines multiplicity, and by A'Campo and Le a germ ambiently homeomorphic to a smooth one is smooth. Zariski asked in 1971 whether this holds in general: if and are homeomorphic, must and have the same multiplicity?
- Result
- Disproved(see note)
- Status
- Candidate (review pending)
- AI contribution
- AI-discovered
- Method
- Construction
- Field
- Singularity theory; topology of hypersurface singularities
- Posed by
- Oscar Zariski, 'Some open questions in the theory of singularities', Bull. AMS 77 (1971)
- Year posed
- 1971
- Years open
- 55y
- Solved
- 2026-09-24
- Model
- Unreleased internal OpenAI model
- Vendor
- OpenAI
- Collaborators
- —
- Verification
- Unreviewed
- Publication
- Announced
- Collection
- OpenAI math release (October 2026), version adc7f12
- Significance
- 52 / 100
- Disclosed cost
- —
- Wikipedia
- No dedicated article
What was actually shown
Two independent counterexample constructions. September 24: for some finite divisible by eight, reduced weighted homogeneous real polynomials on with isolated critical points, , , and ; the germs are also topologically right equivalent, so the right-equivalence version and its mod-2 version (Sampaio 2025, Conjectures 2 and Z mod 2) fail too. September 27: reduced convergent germs on with isolated critical points, orders and , ambiently homeomorphic zero sets. Not addressed: hypersurfaces in , and metric (bi-Lipschitz) or family versions, where positive results stand.
What the AI did
The release README says the results were produced by an unreleased internal OpenAI model with a fixed procedure, on average about three hours of ChatGPT Pro thinking compute per result, and that some outputs build on earlier model results. This result is not among the README's exceptions (the Hodge conjecture for CM abelian varieties and the Re(s) > 11/12 zero-free region). The manuscript is authored 'OpenAI' and names no human author. Two manuscripts in the family, September 24 and September 27, 2026, which the September 27 paper describes as independent arguments. The September 24 paper ships Python scripts (standard library only) that check its finite integer arithmetic; the README says they do not cover the lattice-theoretic or topological arguments.
Verification
No independent mathematician has checked this yet. Checked here: Theorem 1.1 of each manuscript was read against Zariski's question as posed (reduced germs, ambient homeomorphism of pairs, multiplicity as order). The proofs were not refereed. No Lean formalization is listed in lean/formalization.yaml and lean/docs has no page for this family. The September 24 construction runs through Levine's classification of simple knots, strong approximation for special unitary groups and the Thom-Sebastiani and Sakamoto formulas; the ambient dimension N is not computed, only shown to exist and be divisible by eight. Its Python scripts check the finite integer arithmetic only, and were not run here. Both papers state that the surface case in C^3 is untreated.
Sources
- PaperCompanion: Ambiently homeomorphic isolated hypersurface germs in C^4 with multiplicities four and five
- CodeOpenAI math release: Ambiently homeomorphic isolated hypersurfaces of multiplicities two and three
- Problem recordZariski, Some open questions in the theory of singularities, Bull. AMS 77 (1971)
- OtherVerification scripts for the finite arithmetic (September 24 paper)